Conflict follows the currents of scarcity, and NATO must navigate a world where the most dangerous battles are fought over what no longer flows freely. These behaviours signal a shift in how conflict will unfold: not only through conventional force, but through the manipulation, withholding, and weaponization of essential resources. This article explores three plausible scenarios – oil dominance, water ascendancy, and a dual‑pressure world – to map how resource hoarding could shape the next generation of conflict in the Middle East and beyond, and what this means for NATO’s strategic posture in the decades ahead.
Tag: oil
Canada’s Dual Exposure to the Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is barely 30 miles wide at its narrowest point, yet it is arguably one of the most consequential stretches of water on earth. Through this narrow corridor connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman flows approximately 20 million barrels of oil per day (b/d); roughly 20% of global petroleum Read More…
Deutschland’s Dissonance: Nordstream, Nazism and NATO’s Peril
Despite NATO’s objections, as Germany persists in cooperation with Russia, Arjun Singh deconstructs the German strategic calculus on Nord Stream 2 and impact of Holocaust history.
Energy-sector Corruption and State Policy in Russia
In this article Joseph Bouchard examines the issues of corruption in Russia’s energy sector exposed by Alexei Navalny, how those issues impact Russia’s influence in the global energy sector, and how resolving them could impact Russia’s future and its relations with the West.
Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan Eye Gas Exports to Europe
In this Article Dr. Robert M Cutler, examines the implications for Europe’s energy security of the recently agreement between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan to co-develop the Dostluk hydrocarbon field in the Caspian Sea.
Euro-Caspian Energy Security and Geoeconomics
This edited transcript of a 40-minute podcast interview (1 November 2020) covers the Caspian Sea’s legal regime, national interests of its littoral states, Turkey’s role in Euro-Caspian energy security, American and Chinese interests in the region, and why the Caspian Sea’s significance will increase still more in future.
The Future of Democracy Aid
In this article, Ravdeep Sandal analyzes the barriers to democracy aid. Once optimistic, democracies have become more pessimistic due to constant failure.
The Economic State of Syria
The Syrian Civil War is drawing to a close, and at long last. Since its inception in March of 2011, the conflict has provoked utter calamity on a scale not otherwise seen since World War Two. Originating from an unassuming incident, the war has spiraled out of control, with the resulting carnage leaving upwards of Read More…
Regions in Review: Is Canada Taking Arctic Security Seriously?
The NATO Association of Canada’s program editors look at the Arctic as a region of growing strategic significance and consider if Canada, in particular, is giving it the security focus is deserves, either militarily, economically, or environmentally.
The Program Editors Weigh in on “Regions in Review”: The Eastern Mediterranean
On the Editor’s Forum, program editors at NAOC continue their case-by-case examination of different areas of the globe and identify their respective security contingencies. In this instalment, the Eastern Mediterranean is the region being reviewed.










