China – NAOC

Rare Earth Resilience: How NATO Can Secure Its Technological Future Amid US-China Rivalry

As US-China rivalry escalates, China’s new export curbs on rare earths have exposed NATO’s dangerous dependence on external suppliers for the minerals underpinning its defence industries. Daniel Lincoln argues that the Alliance must develop a unified industrial strategy to secure access to critical materials, independent of both Washington and Beijing. By building diversified supply chains, joint stockpiles, and integrated processing capacity, he contends that NATO can turn resource vulnerability into strategic resilience.

China Indo-Pacific and NATO Russia

China’s Calculated Partnership: Decoding Beijing’s Alignment with Russia and NATO’s Strategic Response

In “China’s Calculated Partnerships: Decoding Beijing’s Alignment with Russia and NATO’s Strategic Response,” Daniel Lincoln argues that Beijing’s support for Moscow stems from insecurity, not ideology, and that misreading this dynamic risks hardening a fragile partnership. The piece calls for a strategy of restraint and engagement – one that deters aggression while offering China reasons to distance itself from the Kremlin.

Geographic Boundaries of the First and Second Island Chains

Alexander Morrow China Defence Spending Indo-Pacific and NATO Russia Taiwan Ukraine

The 2025 NATO Summit and Its Implications for Indo-Pacific Security

In his latest piece, Alexander Morrow highlights how new NATO spending commitments strengthen security in both Europe and the Indo-Pacific. As the alliance rebalances burden sharing, European arms purchases have the potential to bolster the United State’s military industrial base and its ability to deter aggression against Taiwan.

China Indo-Pacific and NATO Ukraine

Strategic Myopia: The Folly of Tariffing China to Halt Russian Aggression in Ukraine

In Strategic Myopia: The Folly of Tariffing China to Halt Russian Aggression in Ukraine, Daniel Lincoln argues that proposed secondary sanctions on China would backfire by hurting Western economies more than Beijing. Drawing on data and historical parallels, he contends that China’s vast domestic market, diversified trade networks, and resilience to sanctions make economic coercion ineffective. Instead, he maintains that NATO should focus on understanding Beijing’s strategic calculus and pursue policies that engage rather than alienate China.

Asia-Pacific China Indo-Pacific and NATO International Relations Russia South Asia

Strange Bedfellows, Real Consequences: What do Moscow-Beijing-New Delhi’s SCO Optics Mean for NATO and Canada?

Narayan Srivastava highlights how NATO’s relevance in today’s multipolar world depends on engagement with the Global South. From safeguarding maritime chokepoints to strengthening resilience in energy and trade, actors like India, Brazil, and the Gulf states are emerging as indispensable partners. By expanding its partnership models and leveraging shared interests, this article explores how NATO can reinforce its role as the global custodian of stability, ensuring that the Alliance not only adapts to new realities but leads in shaping them.

Asia-Pacific China Indo-Pacific and NATO International Relations

A New Playbook: Strategic Autonomy and NATO in the Indo-Pacific

By Daniel Lincoln The modern Indo-Pacific is witnessing assertions of strategic autonomy that challenge classical geopolitical logics and patterns of great power competition. During the 2025 Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, regional leaders signaled that they will not be corralled into binary agreements amid intensifying US-China rivalry. The forum revealed a fundamental rejection of zero-sum superpower Read More…

China Indo-Pacific and NATO Maritime Security Mark Davis Madarang Pablo Philippines The United States of America

Special Report on the West Philippine Sea Maritime Dispute (Part 1): Deciphering the Fourth US – Philippines 2+2 Ministerial Dialogue and the Underlying Challenges to the Security Treaty Alliance

Abstract: The United States (US) and its Southeast Asian non-NATO major ally, the Philippines, have just concluded the fourth US – Philippines 2+2 Ministerial Dialogue hosted in Manila on July 30, 2024. In Part 1 of this special report, Contributing Writer Mark Davis Madarang Pablo examines the key takeaways from this historic meeting. This analysis Read More…

Australia Canada China Indo-Pacific and NATO Japan Mark Davis Madarang Pablo New Zealand North Korea South Korea The United States of America

From Minilaterals to Indo-Pacific Treaty Organization: An Idea Whose Time Has Come?

FOIP and RBIO Under Threat While many of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) member-states are heavily preoccupied with providing military assistance to Ukraine’s self-defence against Russia’s war of aggression in the eastern flank, the latest string of events in the Indo-Pacific is a growing cause of concern that could spark a regional armed conflict Read More…

China Indo-Pacific and NATO Indonesia Mark Davis Madarang Pablo Security, Trade and the Economy The United States of America

The Rise of the ”TikTok General”: Unpacking Possible Continuities and Changes in Indonesia’s Foreign Policy under President-Elect Prabowo Subianto

Abstract: Indonesia’s election commission has confirmed that Minister of Defence Prabowo Subianto will be the next President of Indonesia. What could possibly remain and change in Jakarta’s foreign policy? In this article, Program Editor Mark Davis Madarang Pablo analyzes the probable sets of economic and security policies that Subianto might pursue against the backdrop of Read More…

Canada China China Cyber Security and Emerging Threats Intelligence & National Security International Law & Policy International Relations Katherine Todd NATO and Canada Russia Security Security, Trade and the Economy The Arctic

Canada’s Need for a Comprehensive Arctic Strategy Amid Russian and Chinese Threats

Warming climates, emerging natural resources, and intensifying geopolitical threats have made the Arctic an area of great political tension, but Canada does not yet have a strategy to deal with these challenges. Can the country afford to lag behind other Arctic and “Near-Arctic” states in planning for the future of its security?